Monday, February 27, 2012

Charging Stations for Electric Vehicles

Looking eerily like a landing pad for a Vulcan Space Ship, solar panels have shown up on top of the Discovery Place garage to provide power to charge Electric Vehicles.  A similar station has been constructed on top of the parking garage for the Government Center.  Add these to the stations located in the parking lot across from Rock Bottom, and you get the start of a trend.

Granted, it is a very small trend at this point, but to encourage people to use Electric Vehicles (EV's) there needs to be a way to recharge them.  Sounds reminiscent of "Field of Dreams" "If you build it, they will come!"

In previous articles I have highlighted Brooks Agnew of Vision Motor Cars who is about to go into production in Michigan of his Electric Delivery Vehicle.  It is a fascinating concept especially here in Charlotte where all our natural sunlight will be providing enough power to keep the vehicle going at highway speeds for FREE!  This truck, called the Everest, joins the ranks of the Chevy Volt, the Nissan Leaf, as well as others now coming on the market.

The ability to recharge vehicles while at work will speed the adoption of these vehicles.  The adoption will lead to obvious benefits, no emissions and lower operating costs. 

In the February 27th edition of the Charlotte Observer, Bill Ford Jr., the great-grandson of Henry Ford, talked about the time when his great-grandfather started Ford how people seldom went 25 miles from their homes, and how the automobile gave them the freedom to travel. Density, by it's nature, encourages a lifestyle that would normally not exceed 25 miles!

The coming of EV's will certainly highlight that smaller traveling radius and make living in a densely populated city more attractive.  As that becomes attractive, our property values will rise.

Saturday, February 18, 2012

More Information About Rentals

There has been a flurry of activity in the rental market recently.  Here is a map created by one of the frequent posters to Urban Planet.  This map shows the new apartment complexes that have been announced, and their location on a map.

There is no surprise that a lot are clustered around the LYNX Blue Line in the SouthEnd.  Whole new communities are popping up, and the existing projects all have pretty good reputations.  It is reflective of two things; people still being unsure of their situation, and developers finding that financing for apartment complexes is far easier than condos.  With condos, a developer needs to have a certain number of units presold to get the financing needed.

They are not always welcomed however.  I wrote earlier this week about the Mercury project in the NoDa area.  Area residents are not all that happy about how it will change the fabric of the neighborhood.  The developments in the SouthEnd were basically being put in areas that were undeveloped, and other than some empty buildings, there were no one to object. 

In some areas, large developments have caused a significant drop in property values for their neighbors.  An example is Fifth & Poplar.  The units on the Pine Street side of the building have all lost significant value, approximately 40%, when The VUE was built.

The one thing that is for sure is that as the LYNX line is extended to UNCC, all stops along the way will be getting interest from developers.

Friday, February 17, 2012

Following Up On Electric Vehicles

A few weeks ago I wrote about Brooks Agnew and his company, Vision Motor Cars.  Brooks was kind enough to follow up with me and provided a video with more information about the Everest light urban delivery truck, what his production plans are, and what the future may hold for a automobile version of this car.  Go Here to see the video.

The truly incredible part of this technology is that the vehicle can be configured to include solar cells that will recharge the vehicle.  Imagine never running out of fuel again, especially here in sunny North Carolina.

Check out the link, you won't be disappointed.

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

Who Is Right?

A friend of mine lives in NoDa, and is being faced with a serious dilemma.  The issue in question is for the Mercury Development around the Neighborhood Theatre on approximately 3.5 acres.  Go here to see the site plan.  It calls for the construction of up to 260 apartment units to be built on that site. 

Density in NoDa is certainly something that the city wants, as there will be a light rail stop nearby on 36th Street.  Funny, the coming of rail to this town reminds me a bit of the movie "Blazing Saddles", and the rush to get the right land.

The issues here are several.  First, on the corner of the parcel in question is a house that has a deed restriction prohibiting it from being altered on the exterior, or moved.  The owner has the prospect of looking out the kitchen window into a 4 story parking garage.  Not too cool.  The developer has requested the Historic Landmark Commission make an exception and allow this house to be moved.  A potential suitable site within a few blocks has been found that could be suitable.  The Historic Landmarks Commission has passed a motion to not allow the house to be moved.

The next issue involves the property values of the houses directly across from the development.  Many are mill houses that owners have invested significant money to upgrade and restore.  The ambiance of a single family neighborhood will be eliminated by a structure up to four stories that will prohibit sunlight from being available in the afternoons to these owners.  The streets in question will become significantly more crowded with the potential insertion of up to 400 residential vehicles, not to mention the vehicles of guests.

The next issue is how does a property owner deal with the loss of the value of their investment?  One solution is to sell below market value and get out.  A second solution is to rent out the property and hope for a better market in the future.  No offense to renters, but they tend to not add to the fabric of a community as they are highly transitional.  So, does the developers rights to a financial gain from his investment come from the loss of value of the neighborhood?

The next issue involves "The Next Dilworth" principle.  That moniker has been applied to Plaza Midwood, Wesley Heights, Noda and Wilmore.  Driving through the streets will show that homes have been upgraded, some significantly, but all in a way that shows individual reinvestment in a  community that was in disrepair.  The rail line may very well tip the balance in favor of NoDa being that "Next Dilworth". 

The next issue will be sound issues.  The Neighborhood Theatre is not known for its sound containment.  An apartment complex surrounding that facility will certainly bring many complaints.  Speaking of The Neighborhood Theatre, the developer is going way out of his way to make sure the character of the commercial establishments remains intact, perhaps at the expense of the neighborhood.

This is a Downtown Blog, so what does this have to do with downtown, and what does this have to do with property values?  Everything!

When downtown was reinventing itself, the Fourth Ward went through as similar process.  As we look at the neighborhood today, we see a vibrant, walkable, livable neighborhood that shares high density with 23 single family homes.  The development was smart, and well thought out, with density located at the edges.  There is room for both. 

It is this balance of growth and respect for neighborhoods that contribute most to property values.

Monday, February 6, 2012

The Changing Face Of Retail

Well, actually that headline is a bit misleading, but go here to read an article from the New York Times that discusses reusing retail space for other purposes..

The lead paragraph in the article discusses a mall project opened in Cleveland over 20 years ago to try to bring retail, and traditional retail mall thinking, back into a downtown area.  Now, being from Cleveland, I have some familiarity with that project.  I recall walking into it back in the early 90's and marveling at the scope of the project.  Those of you who are familiar with Cleveland might recall the similarity of The Galleria to the Arcade between Euclid and Superior.

I recall wondering how the Galleria could maintain it's momentum.  It was located in the base of an office building, which might give it some life around lunch time or dinner time, but had no residential impact around it.  It was inconvenient for someone to go there from the suburbs, and why bother, all the stores there were located out in the suburbs as well.

But, getting back to the headline, this article goes on to say that many traditional merchants are closing some of their less productive locations, and are not adding, at least in a traditional sense, more new locations.  Our shopping habits have also changed.  It is pretty easy to order staple merchandise, such as office supplies, underwear, etc. on line and have it delivered at no charge to our doors.  When I was a buyer for a department store, and budgets were tight, I could always get an order passed for basic merchandise, because it was the basic merchandise that brought people in regularly.

If you take away the basic need to go shopping by using the Internet, merchants need to create other methods to bring you into their stores, the endless sales with inflated regular prices being slashed to show a big deal to buy at their sale prices.  There is always a sale!

So, the article discusses re-uses for traditional retail malls, and even Eastland is mentioned.  The reuse almost always turns to creating mini-downtown's in their spaces, town centers if you will.  These efforts are designed to create reasons to bring people there.  The article also alludes to the fact that stores now see the ability to walk in off the street is preferable to walking in through a mall.

Could this be the advent of the return of Retail to downtown Charlotte?  Maybe, but not the way it was in the past.  For years I have been advocating taking the banks, doctors offices, brokerage houses, copy centers, etc. off the street level access it currently enjoys, and putting those things in the Overstreet Mall.  I would then take the merchants and restaurants from the Overstreet Mall and put them on ground level.  Return street life to Charlotte.

Downtown Charlotte already has the town center.  As this expands, we will all see our property values once again increase.

Thursday, February 2, 2012

Good-Bye Downtown Donnie

For over 25 years, Donnie and his hot dog cart have been gracing the sidewalks of Tryon Street selling dogs, sausages, soft drinks and chips.  Most recently Downtown Donnie has been on the corner of South Tryon and Third Streets, that is where I met him.

In addition to being a fixture on Tryon, Donnie also does special events.  Several years ago, I engaged Donnie to bring his cart to a Friends of Fourth Ward meeting when we were discussing the on going saga of bringing the Charlotte Knights to the downtown area.

Donnie has also worked other events, grand openings, parties, open houses, etc.  Donnie will be continuing those special events.

So, as time continues to march on, we will miss seeing Donnie's weathered face as he feeds Charlotte.

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

The Time To Buy Is Now

This is taken from John Talbot the author of The Coming Crash in the Housing Market and Sell Now! The End of the Housing Bubble, both written before 2005.  He is currently talking about the reasons that make right now the best time to buy, and here are excerpts from his article;

Home prices are off anywhere from 10% to more than 60% in cities across the country. There is no reason to believe that prices were "fair" during the bubble as we have seen they were largely caused by loose and aggressive lending by banks and non-banks And by my calculations, in most cities across the country, real prices adjusted for inflation have just about come into line with where prices were in 1997

Homes in many cities across the country are now selling for as little as $60 to $70 a square foot. Depending on the quality of construction and the underlying land value, this represents a 50% to 65% discount to the costs you would incur if you tried to build a similar home today in these cities.

During the peak years of the housing bubble, entire cities like San Diego were seeing their homes priced on average at 11 times the area's median family income. Now, homes in many cities are changing hands at three to four times average family incomes.
 

We still talk about home prices in dollar terms, which is silly because the dollar has lost 98% of its purchasing power relative to a more stable asset like gold over the last fifty years. If instead of pricing houses in dollars, we look and see what a home would cost in ounces of gold, we see that houses today are a real bargain.

You might argue that this is because gold is priced highly today. I would argue that gold's purchasing power has changed very little over time, it is the dollar that is depreciating and thus giving the appearance that the price of gold is rising. Actually, gold is quite stable relative to other assets and commodities and it is the dollar that is highly volatile and declining in value due to the US funding its deficits by printing dollars.


John R. Talbott, previously a Goldman Sachs investment banker, is a best selling author and economic consultant to families. You can read more about his books, the accuracy of his predictions and his family consulting activities at www.stopthelying.com.

I will augment this article by relating that of the last 4 contracts I have written, 3 have had multiple offers, and while my clients all bid over the asking price, we were not the highest bidder on any of the 3 contracts.  Hardly a coincidence.

While stories in the Charlotte Observer and other media outlets tell the tale of the price of homes sold is still dropping, they do not report that the number of non distressed properties on the market is lower than it has been for at least 10 years.  It stands to reason that if the market is made up of low end houses that the market will be reflective of those lower prices. 

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

More News About Electric Vehicles

I met a guy at The Dunhill last week named Brooks Agnew, President & CEO of Vision Motor Cars, Inc.  We met through my friend Bill Lamb owner of Amelies French Bakery in NoDa.  Bill is using one of Brooks vehicles to make deliveries to the downtown location of Amelies. 

As I have a strong interest in electric vehicles, I asked Brooks if he would write something for this blog, and he responded below.

America is in love with the automobile.  Our personal relationship with our cars and trucks is unique in history. Auto racing is among the most popular spectator sports ever created and dominates the expression of power and status in our society.  The American road has become the system by which everything we produce or consume travels by truck. 

The time has come; however, for this amazing myth to adapt to reality.  The cost of fuel for transportation has become too high for survival; in more ways than just the price at the pump.  The seasoned automotive engineers that founded Vision Motor Cars, with principal offices in Concord, North Carolina, have designed and built an affordable solution that is going into mass production this Spring.

The Everest light electric truck cab and chassis has finally completed the long road of product development to drive along side fuel-burners on the American highway.  The similarities are stunning.  The truck has heat and air conditioning, can drive 80 miles an hour, carry 1,000 pounds, and performs in every way just like its fuel-burning competition to distances up to 100 miles on a single charge.  Quite suitable for more than 90% of light truck operations in metro areas.

The differences are even more amazing.  The average light truck can travel about 17 miles on $3.45 worth of fuel.  The Everest can travel nearly 300 miles on the same money’s worth of pure, 100% American-made electricity.  Plug it in at your house with an ordinary outlet, drier outlet, or utilize the few high-power special charging stations slowly coming to the Charlotte area.  Or, you can just leave it in the sun, and it will charge itself up entirely for free.  Yes, they even have built in solar panels made right here in Concord to keep the batteries full.

The Everest is affordable at around $25,000 for the base model.  The VMC Urban Delivery Vehicle is perfect for hauling auto parts, appliances, furniture, and thousands of other items far more efficiently than a fuel-burning truck.  Hundreds of routes all over the city can be travelled without spending more than about a dollar a day.  No oil changes.  No belts, hoses, water, and no fuel of any kind.  After rebates, the average buyer could pay for the truck completely on the fuel savings in less than three years.  A small fleet could pay for a truck each year on the fuel savings directly to the bottom line, possibly making that critical competitive difference for any small business operator.  The VMC Everest is a vital hedge against the volatility of fuel prices.  While your fuel-burning competitors are cutting people to keep driving, you can rest easy as you drive past all the fuel pumps without looking.

When VMC production begins to meet the current high demand for the truck then the commuter cars will start coming off the line.  Their plans are to bring 1,200 good-paying jobs to Cabarrus County making affordable highway-ready electric vehicles.  A modern vehicle for a modern mankind.  Drive Electric. www.mynewev.com

Lower costs, help the environment, allow for more density, all things that will help an urban environment like Charlotte to increase property values.

Friday, January 13, 2012

The Planets Are Aligning

Last month (Dec 18th) I wrote of the vibrancy of the downtown residential market.  In the January 13th edition of the Charlotte Observer, this story discusses the purchase of a piece of land, located next to The Catalyst apartments, that has been purchased by Childress Klein Properties.

The article quotes sources that underline the continued demand for downtown living and projects that it will remain strong even when condominium construction restarts.  Rents are also beginning to rise.  All good signs for people looking for property values to return.

This also represents further movement by Childress Klein Properties in the downtown market.  The One Wells Fargo building is currently being marketed by CKP for sale, and once it is sold, the company will be looking to further their investment in downtown property.

Just like the robin indicates the beginning of spring, this news indicates the beginning of the recovery.

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Bumps On The Tracks

"You have to break an egg to make an omelet!"  That is always the case.  Progress means changes in how things are done, and sometimes it can negatively impact some.  This article talks about how changes to the tracks will affect Harrisburg and its residents.

My belief is that we as a country are about to embark on rebuilding a rail system to connect inner cities as an alternative to air travel and highways.  Perhaps slower than air travel, but riders are deposited directly into a downtown area, in most cases closer to their final destination.  Trains are additionally not as confining as a plane, wider aisles, dining cars, etc.  The seats generally provide more personal work space.

Rail infrastructure will define how cities grow, and without good rail connections, we will be passed by.  Think back to the comedy Blazing Saddles.  The premise of that movie was who would get a rail stop and who would not.  Rail traffic in the 1800's built this country and defined where cities are located. It is happening again.

We in Charlotte have a secure spot on the future of inter-city rail connection.  The new AMTRAK station will be located on Trade and Graham Streets, and will quickly become an important part of the city.  The proximity to the station will increase property values in the downtown market.

So, looking at that article about the disruption of the current way of life in Harrisburg, we have to look at the general benefits for this society at large.  Additionally, a change in Harrisburg does not mean the end of Harrisburg, but rather the opportunity for changes to meet the future.